Use and Abuse of the “Natural Capital” Concept

by Herman Daly
Fish swimming in the ocean

Natural capital, such as cut timber or a fish population, should be based on the relations of physical stocks and flows, not prices and monetary valuation. (Image: CC0, Credit: NPS).

Some people object to the concept of “natural capital” because they say it reduces nature to the status of a commodity to be marketed at its exchange value. This indeed is a danger, well discussed by George Monbiot. Monbiot’s criticism rightly focuses on the monetary pricing of natural capital. But it is worth clarifying that the word “capital” in its original non-monetary sense means “a stock or fund that yields a flow of useful goods or services into the future.” The word “capital” derives from “capita” meaning “heads,” referring to heads of cattle in a herd. The herd is the capital stock; the sustainable annual increase in the herd is the flow of useful goods or “income” yielded by the capital stock—all in physical, not monetary, terms. The same physical definition of natural capital applies to a forest that gives a sustainable yield of cut timber or a fish population that yields a sustainable catch. This use of the term “natural capital” is based on the relations of physical stocks and flows, and is independent of prices and monetary valuation. Its main use has been to call attention to and oppose the unsustainable drawdown of natural capital that is falsely counted as income.

Big problems certainly arise when we consider natural capital as expressible as a sum of money (financial capital) and then take money in the bank growing at the interest rate as the standard by which to judge whether the value of natural capital is growing fast enough, and then, following the rules of present value maximization, liquidate populations growing slower than the interest rate and replace them with faster-growing ones. This is not how the ecosystem works. Money is fungible, natural stocks are not; money has no physical dimension, natural populations do. Exchanges of matter and energy among parts of the ecosystem have an objective ecological basis. They are not governed by prices based on subjective human preferences in the market.

Furthermore, money in the bank is a stock that yields a flow of new money (interest) all by itself without diminishing itself and without the aid of other flows. Can a herd of cattle yield a flow of additional cattle all by itself and without diminishing itself? Certainly not. The existing stock of cattle transforms a resource flow of grass and water into new cattle faster than old cattle die. And the grass requires sunlight, soil, air, and more water. Like cattle, capital transforms resource flows into products and wastes, obeying the laws of thermodynamics. Capital is not a magic substance that grows by creating something out of nothing.

While the environmentalist’s objections to a monetary valuation of natural capital are sound and important, it is also true that physical stock-flow (capital-income) relations are important in both ecology and economics. Parallel concepts in economics and ecology aid the understanding and proper integration of the two realities—if their similarities are not pushed too far!

The biggest mistake in integrating economics and ecology is confusion about which is the Part and which is the Whole. Consider the following official statement, also cited by Monbiot: “As the White Paper rightly emphasized, the environment is part of the economy and needs to be properly integrated into it so that growth opportunities will not be missed.[1]

If the Chairman of the UK Natural Capital Committee gets it exactly backward, then probably others do too. The environment and the finite ecosphere is the Whole and the economic subsystem is a Part—a completely dependent part. It is the economy that needs to be properly integrated into the ecosphere so that its limits on the growth of the subsystem will not be missed. Given this fundamental misconception, it is not hard to understand how other errors follow, and how some economists, imagining that the ecosphere is part of the economy, get confused about the valuation of natural capital.

In the empty world, natural capital was a free good, correctly priced at zero. In the full world, natural capital is scarce. How do we take account of that scarcity without prices? This question is what understandably leads economists to price natural capital, and then leads to the monetary valuation problems just discussed. But is there not another way to recognize scarcity, besides pricing? Yes, one could impose quotas—quantitative limits on the resource flow at ecologically sustainable levels that do not further deplete natural capital. We could recognize scarcity by living sustainably off of natural income rather than living unsustainably from the depletion of natural capital.

In economics, “income” is by definition the maximum amount that can be consumed this year without reducing the capacity to produce the same amount next year. In other words, income is by definition sustainable, and the whole reason for income accounting is to avoid impoverishment by inadvertent consumption of capital. This prudential rule, although a big improvement over the present practice, is still anthropocentric in that it considers nature in terms only of its instrumental value to humans. Without denying the obvious instrumental value of nature to humans, many of us consider nature to also have intrinsic value, based partly on the enjoyment by other species of their own sentient lives. Even if the sentient experience of other species is quite reasonably considered less intrinsically valuable than that of humans, it is not zero. Therefore we have a reason to keep the scale of human takeover even below that indicated by maximization of instrumental value to humans. On the basis of intrinsic value alone, one may argue that the more humans the better—as long as we are not all alive at the same time! Maximizing cumulative lives ever to be lived with sufficient wealth for a good (not luxurious) life is very different from and inconsistent with maximizing simultaneous lives.

Natural Capital, James Wheeler

How can we correctly price natural capital in a full world? (Image: CC0, Credit: James Wheeler).

In addition, speaking for myself and I expect many others, there is a deeper consideration. I cannot reasonably conceive (pace neo-Darwinist materialists) that our marvelous world is merely the random product of multiplying infinitesimal probabilities by infinitely many trials. That is like claiming that Hamlet was written by infinitely many monkeys, banging away at infinitely many typewriters. A world embodying mathematical order, a system of evolutionary adaptation, conscious rational thought capable of perceiving this order, and the moral ability to distinguish good from bad, would seem to be more like a creation than a happenstance. As creature-in-charge, whether by designation or default, we humans have the unfulfilled obligation to preserve and respect the capacity of Creation to support life in full. This is a value judgment, a duty-based both historically and logically on a traditional theistic worldview. Although nowadays explicitly rejected by materialists, and by some theists who confuse dominion with vandalism, this worldview fortunately still survives as more than a vestigial cultural inheritance.

Whatever one thinks about these deeper issues, the point is that determination of the scale of resource throughput cannot reasonably be based on pseudo prices. But scale does have real consequences for prices. Fixing the scale of the human niche is a price-determining macro decision based on ethical and religious criteria. It is not a price-determined micro decision based on the market expression of individual preferences weighted by the ability to pay.

However the scale of the macro-limited resource flow is determined, we next face the question of how to ration that amount among competing micro claimants. The answer to that question is pricing. So we are back to pricing but in a very different sense. Prices now are tools for rationing a fixed predetermined flow of resources and no longer determine the volume of resources taken from nature, nor the physical scale, of the economic subsystem. Market prices (modified by taxes or cap-auction-trade) ration resources as an alternative to direct quantitative allocation by central planning. The physical scale of the economy has been limited and the resulting scarcity rents are captured for the public treasury, permitting elimination of many regressive taxes. Dollars become ration tickets; no longer votes that determine how big the scale of the economy will be relative to the ecosystem. The market no longer conveys the message “we can grow as much as we want as long as we pay the price.” Rather the new message is, “there is only so much to go around, and dollars are your ration ticket for a part of the fixed quota, not a vote that can be cast for growth.” Equitable distribution of dollar incomes (ration tickets) will then be seen as the serious matter that it is, to be solved by sharing, not evaded by growth, especially not by uneconomic growth.

Unfortunately, the more common approach in economics has been to try somehow to calculate that price that internalizes sustainability and impose it via taxes. The right price, given the demand curve, will result in the corresponding right quantity. However, there is a two-fold problem: First, methods of calculating the “right” price are usually specious (e.g. contingent valuation); and second, we don’t really know where the shifting demand curve is, except on the blackboard. In fixing prices, errors in demand estimation result in variations in quantity. In fixing quantity, errors result in variations in price. The ecosystem is sensitive to quantity, not price. It is ecologically safer to let errors in the estimation of demand result in price changes rather than quantity changes. This is one advantage of the cap-auction-trade system relative to carbon taxes. Although a great improvement over the present, carbon taxes attempt to ration carbon fuels without having really limited their supply. Nor are the “dollar ration tickets” limited, given the fractional reserve banks’ ability to create money, and the Fed’s policy of issuing more money whenever growth slows down.

A monetary reform to 100 percent reserve requirements on demand deposits would be a good policy for many reasons, to which we can add, as a necessary supplement to a carbon tax. It would not be necessary as a supplement to a cap-auction-trade, but should be adopted for independent reasons. A good symbol should not be allowed to do things that the reality it symbolizes cannot do. 100 percent of reserves would require the symbol of money to behave more like real wealth, at least in some important ways. But this is another story.


[1] Dieter Helm, Chairman of the Natural Capital Committee, The State of Natural Capital: Restoring our Natural Assets, Second report to the Economic Affairs Committee, UK, 2014.


Herman DalyHerman Daly is CASSE Chief Economist, Professor Emeritus (University of Maryland), and past World Bank senior economist.

 

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7 replies
  1. Aquifer
    Aquifer says:

    Seems to me a perfect illustration of Whitehead’s Fallacy of Misplaced Concreteness … a very useful caveat in many, if not all, areas of human endeavor …

    Reply
  2. Erik Buitenhuis
    Erik Buitenhuis says:

    Dear Herman,

    You imply there are three kinds of people:
    those who base duty on a theistic worldview,
    materialists who reject that duty,
    theists who confuse dominion with vandalism.
    The word “some” is missing before materialists. Please see us, the fourth category:
    materialists who base duty on an ecological worldview.
    I see the split between those who see their duty and those who don’t as much, much more important than the split between theists and atheists/agnostics. We’d like to work with you.

    Kind regards,
    Erik Buitenhuis.

    Reply
  3. John McDonald
    John McDonald says:

    “That is like claiming that Hamlet was written by infinitely many monkeys, banging away at infinitely many typewriters.” I seem to recall that such an experiment was tried back in the 60’s or 70’s with an interesting result just before it lost funding. A researcher pulled the page from the typewriter of monkey #3900176 and read, “To be or not to be, that is the quezzilschislyt.”

    Reply
  4. Herman Daly
    Herman Daly says:

    Dear Erik,
    You are right that the fourth category of “materialists who base duty on an ecological worldview” never occurred to me. The reason is that I was using “materialist” in the philosophical sense, as one who subscribes to the doctrine of materialism, namely “the philosophical theory that regards matter and its motions as constituting the universe, and all phenomena, including those of mind, as due to material agencies”. I don’t see how matter in motion can give rise to either a sense of duty or to an ecological worldview. But there are many things I don’t understand, and if people who call themselves materialists feel a sense of duty to an ecological worldview, then I will not let my puzzlement stand in the way of cooperation in serving a shared sense of duty.
    Cheers,
    Herman

    Reply
  5. Ginny Battson
    Ginny Battson says:

    Dear Herman, I think this is a key problem. There is a cat’s whisker between determining non-human life as capital and its subsequent commodification and exchangeability. As a biocentric consequentialist (after Attfield), whereby I value the lives of all individual beings intrinsically, albeit with varying moral standing dependent on my basic need, there is an incommensurability of values here – money verses love, kinship & justice. I wonder whether you think there is merit in developing alternative non-monetary forms of currency and applying the ‘capital’ logic to those instead? Sincerely, Ginny.

    Reply

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